Swing State 2024 results live: Donald Trump or Kamala Harris? 7 states decide

Swing State 2024 results live: Supporters of former US President and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump gather near his Mar-a-Lago resort in Palm Beach, Florida on Election Day, November 5, 2024.

The Swin states, home to just over 60 million Americans, also have the potential to influence the final outcome of the U.S. presidential election thanks to their significant number of electoral votes. An example of this is Trump's victory in the 2016 US presidential election. Although his rival, Democrat Hilary Clinton, secured almost three million more votes, Trump managed to win 306 electoral college votes. Seven of those states in this year's election are: Pennsylvania (19), Nevada (6), North Carolina (16), Georgia (16), Arizona (11), Michigan (15) and Wisconsin (10).

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Poll forecasts for these states ahead of the vote show Trump and Harris statistically tied, making the outcome unpredictable. Nationally, Harris leads Trump by single digits in four new national polls released Sunday and Monday, but three other polls are dead.

Analysts expect large numbers of undecided voters to influence the final outcome in these states. According to a Gallup poll, an average of 43% of U.S. adults identified as independents in 2023, reaching a record high first set in 2014. In Pennsylvania, of the nearly nine million registered voters, about 1.4 million identified as independents.

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Another factor that could influence the results in these states is the turnout of women and minority groups. A Politico analysis of early voters in several states found that 55% of early voters are women and 45% are men. The gender gap is particularly pronounced in several swing states, where women vote more often than men.

The two leading candidates spent large sums in the election campaign in these states to convince undecided voters. According to a Reuters report, voters in these states were bombarded with text messages, billboards, campaign visits, social media messages and robocalls before voting.