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2024 NFL Week 4 Betting: Titans-Dolphins, Seahawks-Lions Odds, Picks, Lines

Posted on by Vanessa
2024 NFL Week 4 Betting: Titans-Dolphins, Seahawks-Lions Odds, Picks, Lines

September 30, 2024, 8:22 a.m. ET

Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season concludes with another Monday Night Football doubleheader, the second in as many weeks. The Tennessee Titans, looking for their first win of the year, travel to Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami Dolphins (7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN), who will start Tyler Huntley at quarterback. Since the announcement of Huntley under center, the line has shifted as Miami enters the match as 2.5-point favorites with a total score of 37.5.

Meanwhile, Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions welcome Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks to Ford Field in the second game of the evening (8:15 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN+). Although they enter the game undefeated, the Seahawks are 4 point underdogs to the Lions with a total score of 46.5.

Betting analysts Ben Solak and Anita Marks share their favorite bets for each match, and you'll also find betting trends from ESPN Research.

Odds are current at the time of publication. For the most current lines, visit ESPN BET

Game lines

Titans and dolphins

Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)
Money line: Dolphins (-150), Titans (+130)
Over/Under: 37.5

Distribution in the first half: Titans +0.5 (-110), Dolphins -0.5 (-110)

The props

Passing by

Will Levi's total passing yards: O/U: 199.5 yards (+105/-135)
Tyler Huntley Total Passing Yards: O/U: 174.5 yards (+115, -145)
Huntley's total passing TDs: O/U: 0.5 TDs (-189/+140)

Rush

De'Von Achane Total Rushing Yards: O/U 69.5 (-105/-125)
Tony Pollard's total rushing yards: O/U 49.5 (-135/+105)
Huntley is totally rushing through the yards: O/U 34.5 (+120/-155)
Tyjae Spears rushing yards: O/U 24.5 (+105/-135)
Levi's total rushing yards: O/U 14.5 (-120/-110)

Reception

Tyreek Hill receiving total yards: O/U 49.5 (-115/-110)
DeAndre Hopkins total receiving yards: O/U 44.5 (-120/-110)
Calvin Ridley total receiving yards: O/U 44.5 (-130/Even)
Jaylen Waddle receiving total yards: O/U 39.5 (Straight/-130)
Tyler Boyd total receiving yards: O/U 24.5 (-115/-115)
Total receiving yards of Achane: O/U 24.5 (Straight/-130)
Chig Okonkwo receiving total yards: O/U 29.5 (+110/-140)
Spears total receiving yards: O/U 14.5 (-119/-120)
Pollard's total receiving yards: O/U 14.5 (-110/-120)

Seahawks at Lions

play

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Why Fulghum is leaning towards the over in the Lions-Seahawks duel

Tyler Fulghum explains why he likes Monday night's showdown between the Lions and Seahawks to be above the projected score.

Odds are current at the time of publication. For the most current lines, visit ESPN BET

Spread: Lions (-4)
Money line: Lions (-210), Seahawks (+175)
Over/Under: 46.5

Distribution in the first half: Lions -2.5 (+102), Seahawks +2.5 (-125)
Seahawks total points: O/U 20.5 points (-115/-115)
Lions total points: O/U 25.5 points (-115/-115)

Passing by

Jared Goff's total passing yards: Over/U 249.5 yards (-105/-125)
Goff's total passing touchdowns: O/U 1.5 TDs (-105/-125)
Geno Smith total passing yards: Over/U: 249.5 yards (-105/-125)
Smith's total passing TDs: O/U 1.5 TDs (+120/-155)

Rush

David Montgomery's total rushing yards: O/U 59.5 (-140/+110)
Jahmyr Gibbs total rushing yards: O/U 49.5 (-110/-120)
Kenneth Walker III is an absolute rushing yard rusher: O/U 49.5 (-145/+115)

Reception

Amon-Ra St. Brown total receiving yards: O/U 79.5 (Straight/-130)
DK Metcalf total receiving yards: O/U 69.5 (-104/-125)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba total receiving yards: O/U 49.5 (-110/-120)
Tyler Lockett total receiving yards: O/U 44.5 (-115/-115)
Sam LaPorta total receiving yards: O/U 39.5 (-110/-129)
Jameson Williams total receiving yards: O/U 44.5 (Straight/-130)
Noah Fant total receiving yards: O/U 24.5 (-125/-105)
Gibbs total receiving yards: O/U 24.5 (+110, -140)
Walker's total receiving yards: O/U 14.5 (+105/-135)

Tips for the games

De'Von Achane UNDER 59.5 rush yards

The Dolphins offense is changing and will be using Tyler Huntley at quarterback this week. I expect Huntley to steal carries from Achane along with Raheem Mostert (who is expected to be back on the field Monday night). The Titans should be able to start strong and the Dolphins could play from behind, meaning passing yards will play a big role. — Marks

David Montgomery any time TD (-170)

The Seahawks have struggled to maintain their lead this season. Montgomery has typically turned down appearances for the Lions. So once Detroit gets into the red zone, expect Montgomery to get the call. — Marks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 49.5 yards (-110)

The numbers say DK Metcalf is the guy Geno Smith prefers to rely on when it comes to man coverage, which the Lions have at a top-five rate – but that sample is pretty small this season. Metcalf will spend most of his time on the outside against Carlton Davis III and Terrion Arnold, who are a much-improved outside corner duo in Detroit.

However, defending the pitch was still an issue for the Lions and this is where Smith-Njigba deserves his best. Expect a lot of dropbacks for Smith, meaning Smith-Njigba should hit that number even if he ends up with fewer targets than Metcalf. — Solak

Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

Titans vs. Dolphins

  • Both teams are 0-3 ATS this season. Unders are 3-0 in Dolphins games.

  • The Dolphins are 2-7 ATS (losing four straight and ATS) in primetime games under Mike McDaniel.

  • The Dolphins are 20-9-1 ATS as a home favorite since 2017 and 16-8 ATS since 2020. Mike McDaniel is the home favorite at 10-6 ATS.

  • When the line tilts toward the Titans' favorites, the Dolphins are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs while the Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as favorites.

  • Levis is 3-9 ATS in his career, 2-7 ATS as an underdog and 1-5 ATS on the road. Levis is 0-5 overall and ATS in his last five starts.

  • The primetime unders are 6-5 this season and 76-47-1 since 2022. The Unders in “Monday Night Football” games are 25-14-1 during that period. Road teams are 70-54 ATS in prime time games during this period.

Seahawks vs. Lions

  • The Lions have played seven straight primetime games (7-1 ATS under Dan Campbell).

  • The Lions are 37-17 ATS under Campbell, the best record of any team since 2021.

  • The Lions are a 12-5 ATS favorite since the start of last season and a 15-7 ATS favorite under Campbell.

  • The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games (8-2 ATS in their last 10 games, including playoffs).

  • The Seahawks have played three straight games as underdogs. This is their first game as an underdog this season.

  • The Lions are an additional 10-3 ATS under Campbell.

  • The Lions' minor team is 3-0 this season.

  • The Seahawks have played four straight meetings (since 2018).

  • The primetime unders are 6-5 this season and 76-47-1 since 2022. The Unders in “Monday Night Football” games are 25-14-1 during that period. Road teams are 70-54 ATS in prime time games during this period.

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