Cardinals vs Commanders 2024 prediction, odds, expert tip

The Arizona Cardinals (1-2) hold a 3.5-point lead over the Washington Commanders (2-1) as of 4:05 p.m. ET on September 29, 2024, airing on FOX. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 49.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

NFL Week 4 Best Bets: Cardinals vs. Commanders & Raiders' 1st Half | Bear bets

Join gambling expert Chris “The Bear” Fallica and former NFL offensive lineman Geoff Schwartz for the best bets of NFL Week 4, presented by DraftKings Sportsbook. The boys reveal why they chose the Arizona Cardinals vs. Washington Commanders and Las Vegas Raiders moneyline in the 1st half.

Cardinals vs Commanders Prediction and Picks

• Choose ATS: Cardinals (-3.5)
• Select organizational unit: About (49)
• Forecast: Cardinals 30 – Commanders 22

Here's how to watch Arizona vs. Washington

• Play date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
• Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
• Venue: State Farm Stadium
• Location: Glendale, Arizona
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Live boxscore: FOX Sports

FOX Sports Betting Analyst Jason McIntyre's Picks:

A little theme in this week's picks: supporting a team in a loss against a team in a win. Arizona looked fantastic in a loss to Buffalo and lost 41 to the Rams. Then the Lions, coming off a surprising home loss to the Bucs, shut down Arizona's offense. We know Washington won't be able to do that because their defense couldn't slow down Baker Mayfield, Daniel Jones or Joe Burrow.

Amazingly, the commanders only forced two punts here season.

The question is whether Arizona can get enough stops to gain a lead and get into coverage. Sure, the Cardinals held the Lions scoreless in the second half last Sunday, but Jayden Daniels is more of a struggling QB than Jared Goff, and we saw Arizona struggle to contain Allen in the opener (6 carries, 44 yards).

Arizona's best offense – which may be missing Trey McBride due to a concussion – is probably a high dose James Connerand I expect a big game from Marvin Harrisonwho may compete against the rookie Mike Sainristilwho got off to a rough start and turned out to be the 86th ranked cornerback out of 97. He has allowed 11 catches on 13 targets.

PICK: Cardinals (-3) win by more than 3 points

Read more NFL predictions for this week

Current Cardinals vs. Commanders matchups

• In the last five head-to-head meetings, Washington has beaten Arizona three times.
• In the last five head-to-head meetings, Washington scored 107 points while Arizona scored 98.

Arizona betting information

• Arizona has covered the spread twice in 2024.
• In this year's Arizona games, the total was exceeded on two out of three occasions (66.7%).
• The Cardinals have not been the moneyline favorite yet this season.
• The Cardinals have a 63.6% chance of winning this matchup based on the moneyline implied probability.

Cardinals stats

Arizona's key player

attack

• Kyler Murray has 635 passing yards, five touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and one interception this year. He has completed 68.6% of his attempts, averaging 211.7 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
• He has racked up 161 rushing yards (53.7 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
• Marvin Harrison Jr.'s 198 receiving yards this season came from 22 targets and 10 receptions. He averages 66 yards and 3.3 catches per game, including three receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL).
• James Conner's ground performance this season includes 189 yards and two touchdowns. He is averaging 63 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt (28th in the NFL).
• Conner has five receptions, 43 yards and zero touchdowns through the air.
• Michael Wilson is averaging 3.7 receptions and 33.3 yards per game and has 100 total receiving yards and 11 catches. He totaled 13 targets and caught one touchdown pass.

defense

• On the Cardinals' defense, Dennis Gardeck recorded ten tackles, five TFL, three sacks and one interception in 2024.
• Budda Baker has 25 tackles and three TFLs this season.
• Mack Wilson has recorded 21 tackles, two TFL and one sack this year.
• Kyzir White has 29 tackles and one TFL.

Washington betting information

• Washington has posted a win-loss record of 2-1-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Commanders have earned one ATS win in two games as underdogs by 3.5 points or more.
• Games involving Washington have reached the over twice this season.
• The Commanders have split the two games they played as underdogs this season.
• With the money line set for this match, bookmakers believe the Commanders have a 40.8% chance of winning.

Commander stats

Washington's key player

attack

• Jayden Daniels has thrown for 664 yards this year, with two touchdowns and zero interceptions. He completes 80.3% of his attempts while averaging 221.3 yards per game and 8.7 per attempt.
• On the ground, Daniels added three rushing touchdowns and 171 rushing yards (second on the Commanders).
• Brian Robinson Jr. has 206 rushing yards (leading the Commanders) and two rushing touchdowns while averaging 68.7 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt (19th in the NFL).
• Robinson added five receptions (1.7 per game) for 56 yards (18.7 per game) without a receiving touchdown. He was attacked eight times in the passing attack.
• This season, Austin Ekeler has accumulated 83 rushing yards (third on the Commanders) and scored a rushing touchdown in three games. He averages 27.7 yards per game and 6.4 yards per carry.
• Ekeler has contributed to the passing attack, posting 121 receiving yards (40.3 per game) on nine catches (three per game) while being targeted nine times. He's going for his first receiving touchdown.
• Terry McLaurin has 139 receiving yards and one touchdown from 12 receptions after receiving 18 targets.

defense

• Bobby Wagner has 27 tackles, four TFL and one pass defensed in 2024.
• Benjamin St-Juste has 17 tackles.
• Frankie Luvu has 23 tackles.
• Jartavius ​​Martin has 18 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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