Chiefs vs Chargers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Tips – September 29th

Data script

The Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) are the clear favorites and are expected to win by at least one touchdown (currently -7) over the Los Angeles Chargers (2-1). The Chiefs have won three games in a row. An over/under of 41 points was set for the matchup.

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The “FOX NFL Pregame” crew plays a game called “State Your Case” in which they debate the NFL's most hopeful playoff teams.

Chiefs vs Chargers prediction and picks

• Choose ATS: Chargers (+7)
  
• Select organizational unit: Under (41)
  
• Forecast:
  Chargers 20 – Chiefs 18
  

Here's how to watch Kansas City vs. Los Angeles

• Play date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
• Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
• Venue: SoFi Stadium
• Location: Inglewood, California
• TV: CBS
• Live boxscore: FOX Sports

Read more NFL predictions for this week

Current Chiefs vs. Chargers matchups

• In the last five head-to-head meetings, Kansas City has beaten Los Angeles five times.
• In the last five head-to-head meetings, Kansas City scored 135 points while Los Angeles scored 108.

Kansas City Betting Information

• So far this season, Kansas City has two wins against the spread.
• In this year's games in Kansas City, two out of three set points were reached over (66.7%).
• The Chiefs have been the moneyline favorite three times this season and have won each of those games.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 77.3%.

Chiefs stats

Kansas City's key players

attack

• Patrick Mahomes has 659 passing yards, five touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and four interceptions this year. He has completed 69.6% of his passes, averaging 219.7 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
• He has racked up 49 rushing yards (16.3 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
• Rashee Rice has 24 receptions (third in the NFL) for 288 yards (fourth in the NFL) and two touchdowns. In three games, he averaged 8.0 catches and 96.0 yards per game.
• Xavier Worthy has one touchdown catch and six catches for 81 yards on 11 targets this season while averaging 2.0 catches and 27.0 yards per game.
• Carson Steele has rushed for 99 yards on the ground without a touchdown (33.0 yards per game in three games).

defense

• On the defensive side, Chamarri Conner has 20 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack and one interception in 2024.
• Nick Bolton has 22 tackles and 4.0 TFL this season.
• Jaylen Watson has totaled 21 tackles this year. He is second on the Chiefs in tackles.
• So far this season, Bryan Cook has 19 tackles.

Los Angeles betting information

• Los Angeles has covered the spread twice in three games with a solid number.
• Games involving Los Angeles have not reached the over once this season.
• The Chargers lost the only game they played this season as underdogs.
• The Chargers have a 27.0% chance of winning this game based on the moneyline implied probability.

Chargers Stats

Los Angeles' key players

attack

• So far this year, JK Dobbins has accumulated 310 rushing yards in three games (leading the Chargers and third in the NFL) and scoring two rushing touchdowns. He averages 103.3 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt (first in the NFL).
• Quentin Johnston compiled 2024 stats that include 10 catches for 133 yards and three receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL) in three games played. He has been the recipient of 13 goals and averages 3.3 balls per game.
• In three games this season, Justin Herbert has caught a total of 399 passes, including four touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against one interception, completing 67.2% of his passes.
• Ladd McConkey has 10 catches for 109 yards and a receiving touchdown. He is averaging 3.3 yards per game through three games and has been targeted 17 times.

defense

• Daiyan Henley has 26 tackles, 2.0 TFL and one pass defensed in 2024.
• Denzel Perryman has 1.0 sack (third on the Chargers), with 2.0 TFL and 22 tackles.
• Khalil Mack recorded 2.5 sacks (first with the Chargers) as well as 2.0 TFL and 10 tackles during the 2024 season.
• Joey Bosa has 2.0 sacks (second on the Chargers) as well as 2.0 TFL and nine tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology and data from Sportradar provided by Data Skrive.

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Los Angeles Chargers

Kansas City Chiefs