Here's who's ahead in the key battlegrounds of the 2024 election

Nevada: Trump is ahead in Nevada 48% to 47% (margin of error 4.6 points), according to a CNN/SSRS poll released Tuesday, while Harris is ahead 48.8% to 48.3% in a Bloomberg poll Wednesday ( Margin of error 5). But Trump is ahead 47% to 46% (margin of error 4) in an AARP poll released Oct. 22, and he is ahead 48% (margin of error 4.8) in a Washington Post-Schar poll released Oct. 21. . Harris is ahead by 0.2 points in the FiveThirtyEight polling average.

Arizona: Harris leads 48% to 47% in the CNN/SSRS poll (margin of error 4.4), Trump leads 50% to 49% in a Marist poll released Thursday (margin of error 3.7) and Trump is ahead by three points – 49% to 46% – in the Washington Post-Schar School poll (margin of error 5), but Bloomberg reports Harris effectively leading 49.1% to 48.8%, within the three-point margin of error. Trump is up 1.8 points in the FiveThirtyEight poll average.

Michigan: In an Emerson poll released Tuesday, Trump leads Harris 49% to 48% (margin of error 3 points), while Harris represents the largest lead of any state surveyed by Bloomberg, 49.6% to 46.5%, but still within There is a margin of error within the four-point limit – and it is similar to Harris' 49-46% lead in the Quinnipiac poll (2.9 margin of error) released on October 23rd. Harris is 0.7 points higher in the FiveThirtyEight polling average in Michigan.

Georgia: Trump and Harris are tied at 49% in the Marist poll (margin of error 3.9), and Trump leads 49.9% to 48.4% in the Bloomberg poll (margin of error 3) and 47% to 43% in one The Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll of likely voters dropping out on Tuesday (margin of error 3.1), while the Washington Post-Schar poll (margin of error 4.5) showed Harris ahead 51% to 47%. In the FiveThirtyEight poll average, Trump is ahead by 1.5 points.

North Carolina: Trump is up 50% to 48% in the Marist poll – within the margin of error of 3.6 points – and he is up 50% to 48% in an Emerson College poll released Thursday (also within the margin of error of 3.1 points). Bloomberg's poll showed him leading 49.6% to 48.5% (margin of error 4), and the Washington Post-Schar poll showed him leading 50% to 47% (margin of error 3.9). The FiveThirtyEight average shows Trump with a lead of 1.2 points.

Wisconsin: The state is almost as close as it gets, with Trump leading 49% to 48% (margin of error 3.4) in the Emerson poll and 48.3% to 48% (margin of error 4) in the Bloomberg poll ) and the two candidates are at 48% in a Quinnipiac poll Wednesday (margin of error 2.9), while Harris has a lead of 50% to 47% in the Washington Post-Schar poll (margin of error 4.6 ). Harris is up 0.1 points in the FiveThirtyEight average.

Pennsylvania: Trump leads 49% to 48% (margin of error 3.4) in the Emerson poll, while Bloomberg found Harris leading 50% to 48.2% (margin of error 3), and she had one in the Washington Post Lead of 49% to 47%. Schar survey (error rate 4.6). Still, according to the FiveThirtyEight polling average, Trump is 0.3 points ahead of Harris.