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Hurricane Oscar's trajectory and path as viewed from the Hurricane Center

Posted on by Vanessa
Hurricane Oscar's trajectory and path as viewed from the Hurricane Center

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Here is the latest update on Hurricane Oscar.

Oscar is considered a Category 1 storm due to its sustained wind speed. According to the National Hurricane Center's 8 a.m. EDT advisory, a west-southwest or westward movement at a slower forward speed is expected through this evening, followed by a turn toward the northwest and north on Monday and Tuesday.

Cone of uncertainty: Check out the latest graphic from the NHC

Satellite images: Check out NOAA's latest satellite image for a clearer picture of the storm's size

According to the National Hurricane Center, the center of the storm was 115 miles east-northeast of Guantánamo as of 8 a.m. EDT Sunday.

According to the latest NHC report, Oscar is moving west-southwest at about 12 miles per hour.

According to the forecast, the center of Oscar will move over Great Inagua this morning, make landfall along the northeast coast of Cuba later this afternoon or evening, and then move over eastern Cuba this evening and Monday.

Oscar will then accelerate northeastward over the central Bahamas on Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are estimated at around 80 mph, with higher gusts.

Expected impacts of Hurricane Oscar

The notice warns of the following dangers:

WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue into this morning in portions of the warning area in the southeastern Bahamas, particularly Great Inagua Island. Hurricane conditions are expected in the warning area in Cuba during the late afternoon and evening. Tropical storms are expected in the warning area from this afternoon through Monday and are possible in the observation area of ​​Cuba. Tropical storm conditions will ease across the Turks and Caicos Islands this morning.

AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION: Rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches, with isolated amounts of 15 inches, are expected in eastern Cuba through Tuesday. In the southeastern Bahamas, 2 to 4 inches is expected, with isolated amounts around 6 inches. For a complete representation of forecast rainfall associated with Hurricane Oscar, see the National Weather Service's storm total precipitation graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at1. shtml?rainqpf .

Storm surge: A dangerous storm surge is expected to cause significant coastal flooding on Great Inagua Island in the southeastern Bahamas, where water levels are expected to be between 2 and 4 feet above normal tide levels. Along the northern coast of Cuba, water levels 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels are expected in areas with onshore winds. Near the coast, the tide will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

Where is Hurricane Oscar?

Here are the latest details on Oscar, according to the NHC's 8 a.m. EDT bulletin.

  • Location: 115 miles east-northeast of Guantanamo, Cuba
  • Maximum continuous wind: 80 miles per hour
  • Movement: West at 12 miles per hour

Oscar's estimated minimum central pressure is 986 millibars.

Anything larger than 979 MB is an indication that a storm could cause minimal damage. According to the NHC, a storm's minimum central pressure does not necessarily represent a danger, but could be an indication of whether a storm will strengthen in the future. A strengthening usually follows a drop in pressure, a weakening usually follows an increase in pressure.

What does the cone of uncertainty represent?

The cone of uncertainty released by the NHC shows some possible paths of the storm center. As you watch the weather forecast, keep in mind that Oscar's impact will be felt clearly outside the cone – and that storm tracks will be outside the cone about a third of the time.

Clocks, warnings

  • SUMMARY OF CURRENT WARNINGS AND WARNINGS: A hurricane warning is in effect for… * Southeast Bahamas * North coast of the Cuban provinces of Holguin and Guantanamo to Punta Maisi
  • A hurricane warning is in effect for… * North coast of the Cuban province of Las Tunas. A tropical storm warning from Las Tunas is in effect for… * Turks and Caicos Islands * South coast of the Cuban province of Guantanamo * North coast of the Cuban province
  • A tropical storm warning is in effect for… * North coast of the Cuban province of Camagüey. A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect lives and property should be completed quickly.
  • A hurricane watch means hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A warning is typically issued 48 hours before the expected first occurrence of tropical storm force winds, conditions that make external preparations difficult or dangerous.
  • A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
  • A tropical storm watch means that tropical storms can occur within the observation area, usually within 48 hours.
  • Stakeholders in the central Bahamas should monitor Oscar's progress. Tropical storm watches may be required for this area later today. For severe weather information specific to your area, consult your National Weather Service's products.

Spaghetti Models: Follow Oscar here

This automatically updated graphic shows how different spaghetti models track Hurricane Oscar:

If the storm tracker doesn't load, click here.

Special note on spaghetti models: The figures cover a range of forecasting tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center only uses the four or five best-performing models in its forecasts.

Helpful hurricane resources and links

(This story has been updated to add new information.)

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