Iowa goes for Trump – defying Ann Selzer's last-minute poll showing Harris in the lead

Former President Donald Trump is expected to win Iowa, according to both parties' forecasts CNN And NBC News.

Both networks predicted a Trump victory after he received an estimated 56% of the vote, well ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris, who held about 42% of the vote as of 11 p.m. on Election Day. The Associated Press called the state for Trump at 10:41 p.m. Eastern Time.

Most polls suggested Trump would handily win the Midwestern state and its six electoral votes, which he held in both 2020 and 2016 Last minute survey The poll, conducted by widely respected pollster J. Ann Selzer, showed Democrats ahead by three points in the Hawkeye State.

Selzer, who publishes surveys with the Des Moines Registerhas a renowned track record in Iowa. She accurately predicted Barack Obama's victory in 2012 as well as Trump's victory that will transform the state in 2016 and 2020.

Both the Harris and Trump campaigns hoped that a win in Iowa could presage better results in the other Midwestern “blue wall” states — Wisconsin and Michigan.

But Trump's camp quickly shot back contrary to Selzer's prediction, with the Republican candidate calling it a “fake poll” and his campaign releasing one memo calling it a “clear outlier.”

The 2024 election results reflect the former president's dominance in the state earlier this year, when he won an incredible 50% of the vote in the Iowa caucus in January against a crowded field of Republican candidates.

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