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NFL 2024 Week 3 Betting – Chiefs-Falcons Odds, Tips and Lines

NFL 2024 Week 3 Betting – Chiefs-Falcons Odds, Tips and Lines

The Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) visit the Atlanta Falcons (1-1) to conclude the game day on “Sunday Night Football.” Led by MVP favorite Patrick Mahomes (+275), the reigning, two-time Super Bowl champions Chiefs are traveling for the first time this season.

Atlanta, on the other hand, just pulled off a surprise road win against the Philadelphia Eagles. After a difficult debut with the Falcons, Kirk Cousins ​​​​performed much better in Week 2, completing 20 of 29 passes for 241 yards and two touchdowns.

It's no surprise that the Chiefs are favorites, but they're only 6-13 against the spread in their last 19 primetime games.

Odds current at time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET


Game lines

Spread: Chiefs -3
Money line: Chiefs (-170), Falcons (+145)
Over/Under: 46.5

Distribution of the first half: Chiefs -2.5 (-105), Falcons +2.5 (-1) 15
Chiefs total points: 24.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
Falcons total points: 21.5 (Over -105/Under -125)


The props

Passing by

Patrick Mahomes' total passing yards: 274.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Mahomes' total number of passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over -165/Under +130)
Kirk Cousins ​​total passing yards: 224.5 (Over -145/Under +115)
Cousins’ total passing touchdowns: 1.5 (Over +105/Under -135)

Rush

Bijan Robinson: Total Rushing Yards: 79.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
Carson Steele's total rushing yards: 44.5 (Over -120/Under -110)

Reception

Rashee Rice – Total number of passes received: 79.5 (Over -100/Under -130)
Travis Kelce – Total Receiving Yards: 49.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
Drake London: Total Receiving Yards: 59.5 (Over -130/Under -100)
Kyle Pitts total receiving yards: 39.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
Xavier Worthy, total receiving yards: 39.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
Darnell Mooney, total receiving yards: 34.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
Ray-Ray McCloud III – Total receiving yards: 34.5 (Over +100/Under -130)
Bijan Robinson: Total Receiving Yards: 29.5 (Over -115/Under -115)


Tyler Fulghum's Tips

Kyle Pitts: 50+ yards gained (+145). Pitts again got off to a slow start. However, this is the matchup that gives him the best chance to break through. The Chiefs have allowed opposing tight ends to catch 25 passes for 275 yards in the first two weeks of the season. Kirk Cousins ​​​​performed better against the Eagles, leading Atlanta to the win with less than two minutes left. Atlanta should target Pitts often in this game, considering what Baltimore and Cincinnati's tight ends have done to this defense so far.

Patrick Mahomes OVER 0.5 INT. Mahomes has already thrown three interceptions in the first two weeks of the season. Now that running back Isiah Pacheco is on the injured list, Andy Reid should have even more incentive to drop Mahomes back as often as possible. With the expected increase in passing volume, we also have more opportunities for a mistake. The Falcons have very good playmakers in the secondary with AJ Terrell and Jessie Bates III.


Betting trends

Courtesy of ESPN Research

  • The Falcons are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog in the SNF.

  • Kirk Cousins ​​is 5-1 ATS in his last six prime-time games prior to SNF.

  • Patrick Mahomes has three interceptions, which would be the most interceptions in two games by a quarterback who won MVP honors since 2002 (Rich Gannon). Mahomes has -140 odds to throw an INT in Week 3.

  • Rashee Rice has exceeded his receiving yards goal in seven consecutive games since last season, the longest active streak among wide receivers.

  • Bijan Robinson has had over 100 scrimmage yards in both games this season; his Week 3 prop is 106.5 and he's -185 to get back to the 100 mark.

  • The Chiefs are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 prime time games. The Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 prime time games.

  • The unders in primetime are 161-111-4 (.592) since 2019. The unders on Sunday Night Football are 57-31-2 (.648) during that time.


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