TCU at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

The TCU Horned Frogs (5-3, 3-2 Big 12) take on the Baylor Bears (4-4, 2-3) on Saturday at McLane Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let's analyze the 24/7 college football odds from BetMGM Sportsbook TCU vs. Baylor Opportunitiesand make our college football picks and predictions.

TCU beat Texas Tech 35-34 last week, falling short of being a 4.5-point favorite. They trailed 34-21 midway through the fourth quarter, but scored the final 14 points to seal the deal. QB Josh Hoover had 344 passing yards, 3 TDs and 2 INTs. They have won 2 times in a row.

Baylor also won its second straight with a 38-28 win over Oklahoma State. The Bears were considered a 7-point favorite. RB Dawson Pendergrass flashed on the ground, rushing six times for 142 yards and a touchdown. QB Sawyer Robertson was 11 of 19 for 222 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT.

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TCU to Baylor odds

Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Visit the USA TODAY sports scores and sports betting hub for a complete list of college football odds. Lines were last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): TCU +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Baylor -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
• Against the Spread (ATS): TCU +3 (-105) | Baylor -3 (-115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 63.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

TCU at Baylor picks and predictions

forecast

TCU 30, Baylor 27

Money line

TCU has won 4 straight duels and 8 of 9. Last year's contest ended in a 42-17 loss to TCU. Hoover threw for 412 yards and 2 touchdowns while rushing for one more.

The Frogs are 3-1 on the road and the Bears are 3-1 at home. TCU has signature wins over Utah as 3.5 point dogs and Kansas as 1 point dogs.

The Frogs have won 3 of 4 and Baylor really hasn't had much success. They also have better continuity with Hoover under center, and he ransacked the Bears last season. For this reason I take the value with me TEXAS CHRISTIAN +130.

Against the spread

Since we are assuming the value of the ML, I will forego the spread here.

HAPPEN.

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Over/Under

Both teams are 5-3 O/U. Baylor's last 3 home games have reached the over. The over is now 4-2 in TCU's last 6 games. We didn't have as high a total in this match as we did in 2016 with Over 65. In the last four meetings the Over was 0-1-2 and I think it's a little too high on Saturday.

Take this UNDER 63.5 (-110).

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